Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). White wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 43.8% vs Stastny 54.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 50.0%
Defensive zone
White 81.0%
Neutral zone
White 70.9%
Result
Colin White favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
White
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
White
Stastny
Last 7: White 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
White
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
White
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
White
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (366)
52.5% (432)
-9.6%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
60.4% (154)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
66.7% (6)
-41.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. White is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (289).
White shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
White
Stastny
Home
45.2% (186)
58.3% (307)
Away
39.8% (216)
50.9% (285)
By Period
White
Stastny
P1
43.0%
57.4%
P2
46.7%
51.7%
P3
36.4%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
42.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Colin White |