Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Glencross on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glencross wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glencross 47.9% vs Stastny 52.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 59.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 77.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 65.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Glencross
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Glencross
Stastny
Last 7: Glencross 4-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glencross
3
0
Glencross
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glencross
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Glencross
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glencross
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
51.0% (588)
+2.6%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
60.6% (104)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
51.7% (89)
-51.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Glencross is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Glencross shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Glencross
Stastny
Home
45.8% (24)
54.0% (400)
Away
40.9% (22)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Glencross
Stastny
P1
40.0%
57.8%
P2
45.0%
52.5%
P3
45.5%
47.5%
Final 5 min
42.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glencross
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Curtis Glencross |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Curtis Glencross |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Curtis Glencross |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Curtis Glencross |