Scouting Report
Jeremy Colliton holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Colliton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colliton wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colliton 55.4% vs Stastny 53.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 50.8%
Neutral zone
Colliton 50.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Colliton
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Colliton
Stastny
Last 9: Colliton 4-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colliton
2
1
Colliton
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Colliton
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Colliton
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colliton
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (63)
52.2% (1,107)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.0% (254)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
72.2% (18)
46.4% (138)
+25.8%
On penalty kill, Colliton has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Colliton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Colliton shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Colliton
Stastny
Home
65.0% (40)
52.5% (785)
Away
59.1% (44)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Colliton
Stastny
P1
55.6%
51.3%
P2
57.1%
55.2%
P3
72.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
61.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colliton
64.0%▲
61.9%
61.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Jeremy Colliton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jeremy Colliton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jeremy Colliton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jeremy Colliton |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |