Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 65.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 62.4%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 66.1%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Jokinen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Jokinen
Stastny
Last 10: Jokinen 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
5
Jokinen
Stastny
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Jokinen
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Jokinen
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
52.9% (1,119)
+1.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Stastny
Home
57.8% (1,369)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Jokinen
Stastny
P1
53.4%
56.3%
P2
54.4%
55.4%
P3
53.7%
53.5%
OT
66.1%
62.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 6, 2014 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 10, 2012 | OT | 01:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |