Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 55.7%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 51.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 56.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Hanzal
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hanzal
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Hanzal
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
55.4% (1,004)
+1.7%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
59.0% (210)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
54.1% (196)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Hanzal shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Stastny
Home
57.6% (682)
56.5% (717)
Away
55.2% (678)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Hanzal
Stastny
P1
57.8%
56.7%
P2
57.8%
57.7%
P3
53.7%
52.1%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |