Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Stastny 53.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 58.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Bergeron
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Bergeron
Stastny
Last 9: Bergeron 3-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Bergeron
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Bergeron
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
53.2% (995)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
57.6% (158)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
61.4% (57)
-5.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Bergeron shoots right. Stastny is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Stastny
Home
61.9% (837)
55.1% (586)
Away
55.5% (895)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Bergeron
Stastny
P1
60.1%
54.7%
P2
59.2%
53.1%
P3
56.6%
54.2%
OT
57.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2014 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |