Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Berglund wins 61.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 54.6% vs Stastny 54.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 72.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 51.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 58.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Berglund
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Berglund
Stastny
Last 6: Berglund 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Berglund
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Berglund
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Berglund
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (86)
52.8% (657)
+6.5%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
61.0% (118)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
61.1% (72)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Berglund is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Berglund shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Berglund
Stastny
Home
60.7% (61)
53.0% (464)
Away
56.4% (55)
56.7% (383)
By Period
Berglund
Stastny
P1
66.7%
47.9%
P2
63.0%
59.6%
P3
46.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |