Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.6% vs Lewis 42.9% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 93.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 95.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 83.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Stastny
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Stastny
Lewis
Last 7: Stastny 7-0 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (967)
41.4% (198)
+15.1%
Power Play
58.4% (125)
64.3% (14)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (128)
26.7% (45)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Stastny shoots left. Lewis is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Stastny
Lewis
Home
56.8% (590)
41.0% (134)
Away
55.4% (630)
39.0% (123)
By Period
Stastny
Lewis
P1
59.7%
40.0%
P2
54.8%
38.2%
P3
53.8%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |