Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 56.1%). Look for Sobotka on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Sobotka 55.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.7%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 61.1%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 50.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Stastny
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stastny
Sobotka
Last 7: Stastny 2-5 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
2
Stastny
Sobotka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Stastny
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,136)
56.0% (373)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.5% (200)
57.1% (21)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
56.1% (107)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Stastny shoots left. Sobotka is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Stastny
Sobotka
Home
58.5% (744)
58.4% (255)
Away
52.1% (680)
53.7% (246)
By Period
Stastny
Sobotka
P1
57.9%
53.4%
P2
54.9%
57.9%
P3
53.0%
55.5%
OT
72.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |