Scouting Report
Bobby Ryan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Buchnevich 35.8% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 55.9%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 58.2%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 52.1%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Ryan
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
34.3% (922)
+3.8%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
44.2% (52)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
24.3% (37)
-2.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Ryan
Buchnevich
Home
38.3% (287)
35.6% (517)
Away
36.4% (195)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Ryan
Buchnevich
P1
34.2%
35.1%
P2
39.7%
34.2%
P3
38.6%
33.8%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Buchnevich
42.0%▲
39.5%
34.4%