Josh Bailey vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Buchnevich 35.8% (+10.9%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 50.6%
Defensive zone
Bailey 55.5%
Neutral zone
Bailey 50.1%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Bailey
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
34.3% (922)
+11.5%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
44.2% (52)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
24.3% (37)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Bailey shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.2% vs left-shot opponents (663).
Home / Away
Bailey
Buchnevich
Home
46.6% (1,353)
35.6% (517)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Bailey
Buchnevich
P1
46.5%
35.1%
P2
44.8%
34.2%
P3
44.4%
33.8%
OT
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Buchnevich
42.0%▲
39.5%
34.4%