Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Zacha 49.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
McCann
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
McCann
Zacha
Last 10: McCann 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
6
3
McCann
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
8
McCann
Zacha
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
5
4
McCann
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
48.9% (5,156)
-5.8%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
55.7% (813)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
42.2% (557)
+0.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
McCann
Zacha
Home
43.1% (1,758)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
McCann
Zacha
P1
44.4%
49.9%
P2
41.7%
49.2%
P3
42.7%
48.2%
OT
36.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
41.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 21, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |