Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Holland 47.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 72.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 91.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 82.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Backes
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Backes
Holland
Last 9: Backes 7-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
1
Backes
Holland
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
45.7% (411)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
55.9% (34)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
45.0% (20)
+4.3%
On even strength, Backes has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Holland is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Backes
Holland
Home
53.1% (573)
48.9% (219)
Away
51.1% (619)
44.3% (246)
By Period
Backes
Holland
P1
51.8%
44.0%
P2
52.3%
51.7%
P3
52.6%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | David Backes |