Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Holland 46.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 93.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 84.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Ryan
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Holland
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Holland
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
45.0% (462)
+9.9%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
52.9% (34)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
33.3% (6)
+8.8%
On even strength, Ryan has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Holland is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Ryan
Holland
Home
57.7% (355)
50.8% (240)
Away
52.8% (352)
40.5% (262)
By Period
Ryan
Holland
P1
57.9%
44.9%
P2
53.2%
46.0%
P3
54.8%
45.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |