Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Krebs 45.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 93.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 88.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 90.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Paul
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
8
(25 meetings)
17
8
Paul
Krebs
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
2
Paul
Krebs
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
1
Paul
Krebs
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
4
5
Paul
Krebs
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
46.0% (2,174)
+6.6%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
52.5% (101)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
38.6% (171)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Paul shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,555).
Home / Away
Paul
Krebs
Home
52.8% (2,445)
45.6% (1,199)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Paul
Krebs
P1
53.8%
45.9%
P2
51.0%
46.5%
P3
52.2%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |