Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.1% vs Varone 46.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 80.0%
Defensive zone
Varone 75.6%
Neutral zone
Varone 76.6%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Turris
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Turris
Varone
Last 9: Turris 2-7 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
Turris
Varone
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
3
Turris
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
Turris
Varone
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,154)
45.4% (315)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.6% (217)
36.4% (11)
+21.2%
On power play, Turris has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Turris shoots right. Varone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Turris
Varone
Home
54.7% (760)
44.5% (119)
Away
45.1% (712)
45.4% (207)
By Period
Turris
Varone
P1
54.1%
44.5%
P2
50.2%
38.6%
P3
45.2%
53.5%
OT
61.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Varone |