Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Talbot wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.1% vs Varone 50.8% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 64.4%
Defensive zone
Talbot 59.1%
Neutral zone
Varone 55.8%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Talbot
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Talbot
Varone
Last 6: Talbot 4-2 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
1
Talbot
Varone
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (285)
55.6% (18)
-6.1%
On even strength, Varone has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Talbot is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Talbot shoots left. Varone is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Talbot
Varone
Home
47.8% (203)
62.5% (8)
Away
47.2% (142)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Talbot
Varone
P1
52.5%
100.0%
P2
38.3%
40.0%
P3
52.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Phil Varone |