Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Danault 52.1% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 79.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 83.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 83.2%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Bedard
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bedard
Danault
Last 5: Bedard 1-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Bedard
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
52.4% (958)
-14.4%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
62.0% (71)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
47.6% (187)
+9.5%
On power play, Danault has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Bedard
Danault
Home
40.5% (316)
51.2% (605)
Away
36.2% (340)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Bedard
Danault
P1
37.2%
53.1%
P2
36.9%
49.8%
P3
40.7%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
38.3%
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |