Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Danault wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Steel 50.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 61.0%
Defensive zone
Danault 81.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 71.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Danault
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Danault
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
0
Danault
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
52.5% (200)
+3.7%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
71.4% (7)
-26.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
40.0% (45)
+11.6%
On power play, Steel has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Danault shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Danault
Steel
Home
56.7% (402)
49.5% (109)
Away
53.7% (518)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Danault
Steel
P1
55.5%
49.5%
P2
54.2%
47.5%
P3
55.2%
56.6%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |