Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 55.9%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 54.5% vs Crosby 55.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 85.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 68.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 61.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Danault
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Danault
Crosby
Last 9: Danault 6-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
0
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (745)
53.6% (1,008)
+2.6%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
65.0% (246)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (124)
60.0% (15)
-8.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Danault shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Home / Away
Danault
Crosby
Home
56.7% (402)
56.9% (675)
Away
53.7% (518)
54.7% (594)
By Period
Danault
Crosby
P1
55.5%
55.6%
P2
54.2%
53.3%
P3
55.2%
58.7%
OT
55.6%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Crosby
62.0%▲
53.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |