Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.7% vs Dubois 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 52.3%
Defensive zone
Finley 75.2%
Neutral zone
Finley 59.2%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Finley
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Finley
Dubois
Last 5: Finley 3-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Finley
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (270)
44.8% (259)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
70.6% (34)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
75.0% (8)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Finley shoots right. Dubois is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Finley
Dubois
Home
53.8% (199)
46.6% (163)
Away
46.2% (117)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Finley
Dubois
P1
54.7%
44.0%
P2
47.4%
51.5%
P3
51.8%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.9%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |