Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 46.3%). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Holmberg 47.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 66.1%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 73.2%
Neutral zone
Point 58.6%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Point
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Holmberg
Last 5: Point 1-4 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
2
Point
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Point
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
45.7% (175)
+0.2%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
75.0% (8)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.0% (20)
-20.0%
On power play, Holmberg has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Holmberg is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Point
Holmberg
Home
45.8% (286)
50.9% (112)
Away
45.5% (358)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Point
Holmberg
P1
45.9%
47.1%
P2
48.8%
45.7%
P3
40.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
40.7%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Brayden Point |