Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.4%). Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Byfield 45.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 58.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 60.4%
Neutral zone
Byfield 58.5%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Bedard
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Bedard
Byfield
Last 10: Bedard 7-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Byfield
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
46.8% (801)
-2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
50.8% (59)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
35.9% (153)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Byfield is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Bedard
Byfield
Home
50.7% (223)
46.3% (462)
Away
42.6% (331)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Bedard
Byfield
P1
40.2%
44.6%
P2
49.2%
43.4%
P3
47.2%
48.7%
OT
57.1%
37.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |