Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.8% vs Zegras 37.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 50.1%
Defensive zone
Byfield 94.7%
Neutral zone
Byfield 87.4%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Byfield
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Byfield
Zegras
Last 7: Byfield 5-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Byfield
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
3
0
Byfield
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
0
Byfield
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (801)
33.0% (264)
+13.8%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
32.1% (56)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (153)
50.0% (2)
-14.1%
On power play, Byfield has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Byfield shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Byfield
Zegras
Home
46.3% (462)
35.3% (173)
Away
44.6% (551)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Byfield
Zegras
P1
44.6%
33.0%
P2
43.4%
35.7%
P3
48.7%
29.7%
OT
37.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |