Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Byfield on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 45.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.7%
Defensive zone
Byfield 53.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 53.1%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Byfield
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Byfield
Seguin
Last 5: Byfield 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Byfield
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
2
1
Byfield
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Byfield
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (801)
53.2% (201)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.8% (59)
60.0% (25)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (153)
44.4% (9)
-8.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Byfield is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Byfield shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Byfield
Seguin
Home
46.3% (462)
56.3% (126)
Away
44.6% (551)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Byfield
Seguin
P1
44.6%
44.3%
P2
43.4%
52.1%
P3
48.7%
62.5%
OT
37.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |