Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.1%). Tkachuk wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Umberger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.0% vs Umberger 50.1% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 78.0%
Defensive zone
Umberger 68.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 55.3%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Tkachuk
Umberger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,574)
50.9% (387)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.4% (1,303)
49.8% (251)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
46.6% (58)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,665).
Tkachuk shoots left. Umberger is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (479).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Umberger
Home
50.7% (1,435)
52.3% (365)
Away
49.3% (1,462)
47.6% (336)
By Period
Tkachuk
Umberger
P1
49.4%
50.0%
P2
51.3%
49.3%
P3
49.1%
50.0%
OT
55.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.0%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%