Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 53.2% vs Carrick 54.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 50.3%
Defensive zone
Faksa 56.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 56.2%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Faksa
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Faksa
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Faksa
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Faksa
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (289)
55.5% (470)
+0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (126)
50.0% (58)
-0.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Faksa is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Faksa shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Faksa
Carrick
Home
54.9% (182)
58.6% (261)
Away
53.2% (235)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Faksa
Carrick
P1
61.1%
55.9%
P2
51.3%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |