Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.5%). Minten wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Minten 56.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 55.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.3%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Minten
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.2%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
51.0% (249)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
44.9% (550)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Minten is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Minten shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Minten
Nash
Home
51.9% (476)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
44.4% (475)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Minten
Nash
P1
44.4%
49.0%
P2
46.8%
47.9%
P3
52.3%
48.0%
OT
83.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%