Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ward wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 53.3% vs Nash 45.8% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 87.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 62.6%
Neutral zone
Ward 85.3%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Ward
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Ward
Nash
Last 5: Ward 5-0 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
0
Ward
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (35)
44.8% (270)
+15.2%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
50.0% (10)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
22.2% (9)
+40.3%
On penalty kill, Ward has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Ward is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Ward shoots right. Nash is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Ward
Nash
Home
61.8% (34)
44.2% (147)
Away
54.8% (31)
44.4% (142)
By Period
Ward
Nash
P1
61.5%
39.1%
P2
50.0%
47.8%
P3
64.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
62.5%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
58.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Joel Ward |