Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Elias wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.0% vs Nash 46.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 82.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 67.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 81.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Elias
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Elias
Nash
Last 8: Elias 7-1 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
6
1
Elias
Nash
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (562)
46.0% (615)
-5.8%
Power Play
49.3% (71)
58.6% (29)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
27.3% (22)
+6.8%
On power play, Nash has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Elias is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Elias shoots left. Nash is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Elias
Nash
Home
39.9% (318)
54.1% (320)
Away
41.5% (359)
38.4% (346)
By Period
Elias
Nash
P1
42.0%
44.8%
P2
38.6%
47.5%
P3
41.1%
44.9%
OT
45.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |