Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nash wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 76.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 75.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 76.0%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Nash
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nash
Bozak
Last 5: Nash 0-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Nash
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Nash
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (449)
57.3% (483)
-9.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
57.5% (73)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (55)
42.3% (104)
+3.2%
On power play, Bozak has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Nash is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Nash shoots right. Bozak is 62.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Nash
Bozak
Home
51.6% (275)
57.8% (332)
Away
43.5% (237)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Nash
Bozak
P1
52.7%
52.7%
P2
43.9%
55.6%
P3
47.7%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |