Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.2%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Thomas 51.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 59.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 66.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.8%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Lundell
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lundell
Thomas
Last 7: Lundell 1-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Lundell
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Lundell
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
50.3% (652)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
61.5% (104)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
54.2% (120)
-6.9%
On power play, Thomas has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lundell is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Lundell shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Lundell
Thomas
Home
51.0% (574)
52.0% (400)
Away
52.6% (546)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Lundell
Thomas
P1
52.9%
49.6%
P2
55.8%
55.4%
P3
47.1%
51.0%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |