Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Thomas 52.9% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 73.7%
Defensive zone
Point 51.4%
Neutral zone
Point 61.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Point
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Thomas
Last 5: Point 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Point
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
53.2% (1,166)
-7.3%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
56.9% (262)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.4% (221)
-28.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Point
Thomas
Home
45.8% (286)
51.6% (830)
Away
45.5% (358)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Point
Thomas
P1
45.9%
52.7%
P2
48.8%
55.6%
P3
40.6%
50.6%
OT
62.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |