Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.3% vs Thomas 51.7% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 91.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 75.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Giroux
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Giroux
Thomas
Last 5: Giroux 5-0 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (420)
50.2% (635)
+10.8%
Power Play
66.4% (113)
61.0% (100)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (163)
53.4% (118)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Giroux is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Giroux shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thomas
Home
66.6% (350)
52.0% (400)
Away
59.2% (346)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Giroux
Thomas
P1
62.1%
49.4%
P2
64.7%
55.2%
P3
61.6%
50.7%
OT
69.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |