Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Thomas 51.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 79.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 71.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 67.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Dickinson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Dickinson
Thomas
Last 10: Dickinson 8-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
5
Dickinson
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
11
1
Dickinson
Thomas
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
50.2% (635)
+1.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
61.0% (100)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
53.4% (118)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Thomas
Home
48.7% (431)
52.0% (400)
Away
50.7% (404)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Dickinson
Thomas
P1
43.4%
49.4%
P2
54.9%
55.2%
P3
49.6%
50.7%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |