Scouting Report
Roman Horak holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Horak 43.9% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 53.5%
Defensive zone
Horak 50.2%
Neutral zone
Horak 51.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Bedard
Horak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
41.8% (594)
-1.6%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
51.4% (37)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
57.9% (19)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Bedard shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Bedard
Horak
Home
43.3% (785)
43.7% (325)
Away
38.9% (957)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Bedard
Horak
P1
38.9%
42.4%
P2
41.2%
44.2%
P3
42.5%
42.6%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%