Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Horak 46.9% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 90.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 67.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 85.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Thornton
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Thornton
Horak
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Horak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
1
2
Thornton
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
44.4% (189)
+12.6%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
45.5% (11)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (50)
80.0% (5)
-18.0%
On power play, Thornton has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Thornton shoots left. Horak is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Thornton
Horak
Home
56.7% (353)
49.5% (93)
Away
60.3% (348)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Thornton
Horak
P1
59.3%
41.7%
P2
60.1%
51.5%
P3
57.1%
44.6%
OT
47.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 06:13 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |