Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Hintz 55.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 78.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 77.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 76.5%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Kerfoot
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kerfoot
Hintz
Last 5: Kerfoot 1-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Kerfoot
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
56.3% (512)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
63.3% (30)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
45.8% (24)
-6.6%
On power play, Hintz has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kerfoot is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Kerfoot shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Hintz
Home
51.4% (467)
57.3% (262)
Away
43.5% (395)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Kerfoot
Hintz
P1
49.1%
54.8%
P2
42.4%
56.0%
P3
52.7%
57.5%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.8%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |