Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Colton 51.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 59.9%
Defensive zone
Colton 63.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 52.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Jarnkrok
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
51.6% (1,803)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
48.8% (162)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
34.5% (29)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Colton
Home
50.5% (2,262)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Colton
P1
47.7%
53.7%
P2
48.0%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
47.9%
OT
40.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |