Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Colton 51.1% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Colton 53.1%
Defensive zone
Ward 56.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 52.6%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Ward
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
51.6% (1,803)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
48.8% (162)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
34.5% (29)
+1.0%
On power play, Ward has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Ward
Colton
Home
50.3% (870)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
46.5% (921)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Ward
Colton
P1
47.6%
53.7%
P2
47.5%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
47.9%
OT
30.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%