Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Carpenter 48.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 52.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 74.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 70.6%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Howden
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Howden
Carpenter
Last 5: Howden 4-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
48.8% (404)
-1.5%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
100.0% (1)
-77.8%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
43.6% (101)
-17.7%
On power play, Carpenter has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Howden
Carpenter
Home
44.3% (176)
48.9% (274)
Away
45.8% (190)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Howden
Carpenter
P1
43.1%
51.9%
P2
43.1%
49.4%
P3
48.1%
41.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |