Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Carter 49.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.4%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Jarnkrok
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (3,357)
50.1% (978)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
60.0% (15)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (643)
46.4% (138)
-6.0%
On power play, Carter has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Carter
Home
50.5% (2,262)
49.0% (506)
Away
45.3% (1,996)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Carter
P1
47.7%
50.5%
P2
48.0%
48.9%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
40.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |