Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.5% vs Nichol 57.8% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 69.9%
Defensive zone
Nichol 85.8%
Neutral zone
Nichol 53.3%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Carter
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carter
Nichol
Last 7: Carter 5-2 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Nichol
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (404)
58.6% (394)
-7.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
71.4% (7)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (62)
61.5% (78)
-11.5%
On power play, Nichol has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Carter is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Carter shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Carter
Nichol
Home
48.2% (220)
56.1% (246)
Away
52.7% (258)
62.8% (239)
By Period
Carter
Nichol
P1
53.2%
57.7%
P2
50.3%
58.1%
P3
48.7%
62.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |