Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.3%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Carter
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
48.4% (4,987)
+1.7%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
57.4% (376)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
40.0% (555)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Carter shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Carter
Gourde
Home
49.0% (506)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
50.3% (632)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Carter
Gourde
P1
50.5%
49.8%
P2
48.9%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%