Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 92.2%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 83.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 60.9%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Last 8: Tkachuk 3-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
5
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
52.5% (772)
-7.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
60.8% (153)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
48.0% (100)
+52.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
Home
51.1% (233)
56.0% (557)
Away
49.0% (202)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Tkachuk
Getzlaf
P1
42.9%
52.2%
P2
52.2%
53.0%
P3
53.7%
54.9%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
50.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |