Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.4%). Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.6% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 66.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 68.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 54.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Richards
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Richards
Getzlaf
Last 8: Richards 2-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
5
Richards
Getzlaf
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (352)
48.1% (939)
+1.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
56.8% (222)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (116)
41.4% (58)
+7.7%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Richards is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Richards shoots left. Getzlaf is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Richards
Getzlaf
Home
49.4% (247)
49.4% (591)
Away
49.6% (228)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Richards
Getzlaf
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
47.7%
47.4%
P3
47.3%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2016 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |