Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.2% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 54.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 54.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Foligno
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Foligno
Getzlaf
Last 5: Foligno 2-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Foligno
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Foligno
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (227)
50.6% (1,060)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
48.3% (118)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (21)
54.9% (71)
-2.5%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Foligno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Foligno shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Foligno
Getzlaf
Home
45.7% (116)
51.9% (622)
Away
49.0% (147)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Foligno
Getzlaf
P1
53.8%
49.4%
P2
50.0%
53.1%
P3
40.4%
50.5%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
47.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |