Scouting Report
Tim Sestito holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Greene wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greene 43.7% vs Sestito 46.0% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Sestito 57.7%
Defensive zone
Greene 57.4%
Neutral zone
Greene 53.0%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Greene
Sestito
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greene
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (530)
45.7% (457)
-2.5%
Power Play
46.8% (62)
55.6% (9)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (167)
34.2% (38)
+5.9%
On power play, Sestito has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Greene is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Greene shoots right. Sestito is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Greene
Sestito
Home
47.4% (382)
48.0% (273)
Away
38.2% (377)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Greene
Sestito
P1
46.1%
42.5%
P2
37.6%
42.1%
P3
45.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%