Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Hartman 45.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 55.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 58.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Howden
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
Hartman
Last 5: Howden 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
45.1% (874)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.4% (95)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
37.5% (16)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Howden
Hartman
Home
46.5% (217)
45.0% (515)
Away
52.7% (237)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Howden
Hartman
P1
51.4%
47.3%
P2
51.6%
40.1%
P3
48.5%
48.3%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |