Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Hartman 45.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 88.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 63.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Dickinson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Dickinson
Hartman
Last 9: Dickinson 6-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
45.1% (874)
+6.8%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
47.4% (95)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
37.5% (16)
+1.6%
On power play, Dickinson has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hartman
Home
48.7% (431)
45.0% (515)
Away
50.7% (404)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Dickinson
Hartman
P1
43.4%
47.3%
P2
54.9%
40.1%
P3
49.6%
48.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |